February 7, 2008
Lessons for Charity From the Election Polls
It wasn't quite "Dewey Defeats Truman," but the fact that pollsters were flatly wrong about Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton's victory in the New Hampshire Democratic primary will probably rank a close second in the history of polling blunders.
Pollsters are still debating exactly what went wrong in New Hampshire. The fundamental problem in this case, however, wasn't that the polls were badly carried out. The real problem is that people are counting on survey research to do the wrong
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